The path of an expected tropical storm has shifted closer to South Florida, with southeastern Miami-Dade County now within the forecast cone, according to the 5 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. But the hurricane center gives it an 80 percent chance of organizing itself into a tropical depression or storm as it arcs toward Cuba and the Bahamas.
When the system gains tropical storm strength it will be given the name Philippe and become the 16th named storm of the year.
Philippe's center was confirmed Saturday, and the storm was reported to be moving north, expected to continue into the evening. The main impact from this system in southern Florida appears to be heavy rainfall from Saturday into early Sunday.
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A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara. A Tropical Storm Watch is also in effect for the Central Bahamas.
The cold air mass will start to take over Sunday. Monday morning, temperatures will drop to the mid- to upper 40s across metro areas and in the low 40s in rural areas.
The National Hurricane Center suggests the the eye will move across west-central Cuba this afternoon, across the Straits of Florida tonight, and across the northwestern Bahamas Sunday morning. Rain totals up to 6 inches are possible in localized areas.